Triveni Turbine Ltd. on 29/10/18 informed of a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company to consider and approve unaudited financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2018 and also consider a proposal for for buy-back of the equity shares. As approved in board meeting on 01/11/18, Triveni Turbine Buyback comprises buyback of equity shares of the Company having a face value of Re. 1/- each on a proportionate basis, through the “Tender Offer” route. Triveni Turbine Buyback is at  a price of Rs. 150/- for an aggregate amount not exceeding Rs. 100 crore for  66,66,666 Equity Shares. Triveni Turbine Buyback represents  2.02% of the total paid-up equity share capital of the Company.

Latest Updates

Triveni Turbine Buyback: Acceptance Ratio 8 Shares out of every 43
Triveni Turbine Buyback: Issue Date 14:01-25-01-19

Triveni Turbine Buyback RD is 28-12-18, ex date is 27-12-18

Triveni Turbine Buyback 2018
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Triveni Turbine Buyback: A Framework to Estimate Acceptance Ratio:

This framework is based on estimation of shareholding of Triveni Turbine investors who hold around 2000 number of shares as on 31/03/2018. To this we have added estimates for 
1) Few additional purchase  of Shares by existing shareholders with eye on earning additional returns through buyback. This is expected to be quite low.
2) Purchase of Shares by arbitrage investors.

Based on approximations indicated above, and taking a considerably a relatively high tendering ratio of 65-70%, Triveni Turbine Buyback could have a acceptance ratio in 25%-35%.  

Cross Tabulation of Estimated Returns for Triveni Turbine Buyback 

The absolute returns/Loss that may accrue to an Investors/Arbitrage trader are a function of Percentage Acceptance Ratio and Price Post Buyback.  Investors may kept in mind that stock markets are quite volatile at this  juncture and there are many political and other uncertainties related to international markets. We have depicted  estimated Absolute Returns in a table form as a function of various possible combinations of Acceptance Ratios and Price Post Buyback.

Shares Purchased
1600
Buyback Price150
Abs Returns
MP when Posted112.55
Investment180080
Pr. aft Buybk
Acceptance %100105110
25%-0.04%3.29%6.62%
30%2.18%5.29%8.40%
35%4.40%7.29%10.17%
Actual Return
MP aft Buybk
Final Acceptance102
54.37%13.81%

This post is purely for informative and educational purpose and is in no way suggestive of taking any position in the counter. Profit or Loss in  any buy sell operation in stocks is associated with significant risk of capital loss. For more on Buyback Benefits and other issues please refer the earlier Posts
 Buyback of Shares: A Primer for Retail Investors
 TCS Buyback of Shares 2018
 HCL Technologies Buyack 2018 (HCLTECH Buyback)
 Mphasis Buyback of Shares 2018
 Navneet Buyback 2018

About Triveni Turbine Ltd.:
  • Triveni Turbines is one of the largest manufacturers of industrial steam turbines globally. The Company designs and manufactures steam turbines up to 100 MW, and delivers robust, reliable and efficient end-to-end solutions
  • Triveni Turbine Ltd. (TTL) is also one of the largest players globally in the Biomass segment, with ~ 20% market share.
  • The Company provides renewable power solutions specifically for Biomass, Independent Power Producers, Sugar & Process Co-generation, Waste-to-Energy and District Heating. Its steam turbines are used in diverse industries, ranging from Sugar, Steel, Textiles, Chemical, Pulp & Paper, Petrochemicals,
    Fertilisers, Solvent Extraction, Metals, Palm Oil to Food Processing.
Triveni Turbine Ltd. : Summary of Financials,  Stock Price Trend, Qtrly Results

Parameter Figures
Market Cap (in ₹ Cr.) 3,695.00
Earning Per Share (EPS TTM) Rs. 3.2
Price To Earnings (P/E) Ratio 35
Book Value Per Share  13.52
Price To BV (P/B) Ratio 8.28
EBIT Margin (%) 19.94
PAT Margin (%) 13.22
ROCE (%) 35.18
Debt to Equity (D/E) Ratio 0

Triveni Turbine Buyback price chart

Quarterly Results

Particulars

Sep-18 Jun-18 Mar-18 Dec-17 Sep-17 Jun-17
Net Sales 217.24 171.76 244.13 165.59 219.69 121.69
Total Income 222.64 175.18 247.63 167.61 221.48 126.41
Total Expenditure 172.43 141.55 187.95 134.72 173.64 103.37
PBIDT 50.21 33.63 59.68 32.89 47.84 23.04
Interest 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.3 0.14 0.08
PBDT 50.17 33.62 59.67 32.59 47.7 22.96
Depreciation 4.79 4.79 5.33 4.68 4.07 5.04
Tax 14.67 9.57 20.19 11.16 14.68 4.85
Deferred Tax 0.59 0.25 -1.23 -2.63 0.52 0.27
Net Profit  30.12 19.01 35.38 19.38 28.43 12.8
EPS 0.91 0.58 1.07 0.59 0.86 0.39
Book Value  0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividend (%) 55 0 0 45 0 0
Equity 33 33 33 33 33 33
PBIDTM(%) 23.11 19.58 24.45 19.86 21.78 18.93
PBDTM(%) 23.09 19.57 24.44 19.68 21.71 18.87
PATM(%) 13.86 11.07 14.49 11.7 12.94 10.52
Assessment: Triveni Turbine Buyback
  • Triveni Turbine reported inline numbers in Q2FY19 with revenues at same  level (yoy) and some improvement in profitability.
  • Despite a not so rosy picture in sugar sector, Triveni Turbine may still be able to get healthy order inflow from the sector, as the government’s focus on Ethanol blending and co-generation can  drive demand.
  • while Power sector suffers from no so rosy outlook, Triveni Turbine focus on   renewable, waste to energy and biomass has resulted in good order inflow.
  • Triveni Turbine exports are focused largely on  waste to energy, renewable and biomass segment  and in Q1Fy19, exports accounted for 42% share.
  • Promoters holding in the company is high at about 75%.
  • After a run up on announcement of buyback price, it may be better to buy the share at dips.
  • Triveni turbine stock  is not in F&O.

Standard disclaimer:  I am not a SEBI registered analyst. I may have vested interest in every stock I discuss. Please do your own due diligence as stock market investments have high degree of inherent risk.